Jumat, 30 Maret 2012

[H108.Ebook] Download PDF A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods (Springer Texts in Statistics), by Peter D. Hoff

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A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods (Springer Texts in Statistics), by Peter D. Hoff

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A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods (Springer Texts in Statistics), by Peter D. Hoff

  • A self-contained introduction to probability, exchangeability and Bayes’ rule provides a theoretical understanding of the applied material.

  • Numerous examples with R-code that can be run "as-is" allow the reader to perform the data analyses themselves.

  • The development of Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in the context of data analysis examples provides motivation for these computational methods.

    • Sales Rank: #1056537 in Books
    • Published on: 2010-11-09
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 9.25" h x .64" w x 6.10" l, .88 pounds
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 271 pages

    Review

    From the reviews:

    This is an excellent book for its intended audience: statisticians who wish to learn Bayesian methods. Although designed for a statistics audience, it would also be a good book for econometricians who have been trained in frequentist methods, but wish to learn Bayes. In relatively few pages, it takes the reader through a vast amount of material, beginning with deep issues in statistical methodology such as de Finetti’s theorem, through the nitty-gritty of Bayesian computation to sophisticated models such as generalized linear mixed effects models and copulas. And it does so in a simple manner, always drawing parallels and contrasts between Bayesian and frequentist methods, so as to allow the reader to see the similarities and differences with clarity. (Econometrics Journal) “Generally, I think this is an excellent choice for a text for a one-semester Bayesian Course. It provides a good overview of the basic tenets of Bayesian thinking for the common one and two parameter distributions and gives introductions to Bayesian regression, multivariate-response modeling, hierarchical modeling, and mixed effects models. The book includes an ample collection of exercises for all the chapters. A strength of the book is its good discussion of Gibbs sampling and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms. The author goes beyond a description of the MCMC algorithms, but also provides insight into why the algorithms work. …I believe this text would be an excellent choice for my Bayesian class since it seems to cover a good number of introductory topics and giv the student a good introduction to the modern computational tools for Bayesian inference with illustrations using R.�(Journal of the American Statistical Association, June 2010, Vol. 105, No. 490)

    “Statisticians and applied scientists. The book is accessible to readers having a basic familiarity with probability theory and grounding statistical methods. The author has succeeded in writing an acceptable introduction to the theory and application of Bayesian statistical methods which is modern and covers both the theory and practice. … this book can be useful as a quick introduction to Bayesian methods for self study. In addition, I highly recommend this book as a text for a course for Bayesian statistics.” (Lasse Koskinen, International Statistical Review, Vol. 78 (1), 2010)

    “The book under review covers a balanced choice of topics … presented with a focus on the interplay between Bayesian thinking and the underlying mathematical concepts. … the book by Peter D. Hoff appears to be an excellent choice for a main reading in an introductory course. After studying this text the student can go in a direction of his liking at the graduate level.” (Krzysztof Łatuszyński, Mathematical Reviews, Issue 2011 m)

    “The book is a good introductory treatment of methods of Bayes analysis. It should especially appeal to the reader who has had some statistical courses in estimation and modeling, and wants to understand the Bayesian interpretation of those methods. Also, readers who are primarily interested in modeling data and who are working in areas outside of statistics should find this to be a good reference book. … should appeal to the reader who wants to keep with modern approaches to data analysis.” (Richard P. Heydorn, Technometrics, Vol. 54 (1), February, 2012)

    From the Back Cover

    This book provides a compact self-contained introduction to the theory and application of Bayesian statistical methods. The book is accessible to readers having a basic familiarity with probability, yet allows more advanced readers to quickly grasp the principles underlying Bayesian theory and methods. The examples and computer code allow the reader to understand and implement basic Bayesian data analyses using standard statistical models and to extend the standard models to specialized data analysis situations. The book begins with fundamental notions such as probability, exchangeability and Bayes' rule, and ends with modern topics such as variable selection in regression, generalized linear mixed effects models, and semiparametric copula estimation. Numerous examples from the social, biological and physical sciences show how to implement these methodologies in practice.

    Monte Carlo summaries of posterior distributions play an important role in Bayesian data analysis. The open-source R statistical computing environment provides sufficient functionality to make Monte Carlo estimation very easy for a large number of statistical models and example R-code is provided throughout the text. Much of the example code can be run ``as is'' in R, and essentially all of it can be run after downloading the relevant datasets from the companion website for this book.

    Peter Hoff is an Associate Professor of Statistics and Biostatistics at the University of Washington. He has developed a variety of Bayesian methods for multivariate data, including covariance and copula estimation, cluster analysis, mixture modeling and social network analysis. He is on the editorial board of the Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Most helpful customer reviews

    26 of 27 people found the following review helpful.
    Good hands-on introduction
    By Grue
    This is an appropriate practical introduction to Bayesian methods for someone who has taken both a college-level probability and statistics course. The multidimensional examples may require a bit of linear algebra. It doesn't include much comparison with frequentist techniques, so some familiarity there would help the reader put the ideas in context.

    Compared to a book like Christian Robert's excellent _The Bayesian Choice_, this book may appear inadequate, because it is less than half the size, is often less dense and scholarly, and is (currently at Amazon) almost double the price. However, I'm happy I have both because Hoff's book is more practical for someone who actually wants to use Bayesian statistics in practical situations. Hoff spends a lot of time discussing simple examples with wide application, and he actually shows the R code to compute the answers with MCMC techniques.

    However, after reading the book, I still don't feel totally prepared to apply R in real-life Bayesian situations. It would be nice for a practical book like Hoff's to include some hands-on tips about how to do these problems (R packages to use, basic modeling strategies, common pitfalls, speed concerns, assessing convergence, etc.).

    11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
    Do not get the kindle version
    By Ryan Brady
    The text is fine, although as another reviewer mentioned - the homework is frustrating. None of it is the sort of problem where you can go back and follow along with work done in the chapter. Not at all good for someone who prefers to learn by first mimicking, and then exploring.

    No, the BIG problem is that many of the formulas are stored as images since equations are incompatible with the file format. If you try to increase the text size so you can actually read them, the formulas stay the same tiny size. Trying to use the windows accessibility tools just results in a pixelated illegible formula.

    I would love to have all my texts in electronic format, but not until this issue can be fixed.

    8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
    Solid Introduction
    By Jared Becksfort
    I used this book to learn about Bayesian statistics on my own, and I was able to successfully perform Bayesian analyses at work afterward. I really had very little idea of what Bayesian statistics was (or is? I am not an English major) before reading it, but I feel I have a good understanding of its basics now. The book is strongly mathematical, and it has helped me understand statistical papers from JASA. It should definitely not be your first statistics book.

    Some criticisms: there are some good examples, but not as many as I would have liked. The exercises in the back of the book do not have solutions available, to my knowledge. Some well-known topics such as Jeffrey's priors are only discussed in the exercises.

    The title of the book sells itself short a bit. R is used heavily from about the 3rd chapter onward. There is a ton of R code available at the author's website, much of which is not shown in the book. A pleasant surprise to me was that all the code used to generate every figure from the book in PDF form is available at the web site too. I learned a lot about graphical programming in R by going through it.

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    Rabu, 28 Maret 2012

    [Z134.Ebook] Ebook Download The Award in Education and Training (Further Education and Skills), by Ann Gravells

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    The Award in Education and Training (Further Education and Skills), by Ann Gravells

    The Award in Education and Training is the threshold qualification for anyone wanting to teach in a wide range of contexts including the further education and skills sector, workplace learning, offender learning and adult and community settings. This user-friendly text is your guide to all the units of the Award and is a key text for the course. Structured around the teaching, learning and assessment cycle, it includes full coverage of all units as well as information relevant to the Learning and Development units. Examples, activities and checklists help link theory to practice. The text is written for all learners and all awarding organisations.

    This revised edition is updated for the new qualification requirements and the Professional Standards for Teachers and Trainers.

    •�A key text for the new Award in Education and Training.

    •�Contents specifically follow the teaching, learning and assessment cycle, and match the qualification requirements.

    • Readable, relevant and easy to understand.

    •�Provides valuable support for prospective teachers and trainers with little or no previous experience.

    •�An excellent foundation for those considering or progressing to further teaching qualifications.

    • Sales Rank: #5676306 in Books
    • Published on: 2014-09-09
    • Released on: 2014-08-20
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 9.69" h x .56" w x 6.73" l, .0 pounds
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 248 pages

    About the Author

    Ann is a director of her own company, Ann Gravells Ltd, an educational consultancy based in East Yorkshire. She specialises in teaching, training and quality assurance for the Further Education and Skills Sector.

    Ann creates resources for teachers and learners such as PowerPoints and handouts for the TAQA units and for�the Award and the Certificate�in Education and Training. These are available via her resource website: www.anngravells.co.uk/resources.

    Ann is a consultant to the University of Cambridge’s Institute of Continuing Education. She has worked for several awarding organisations producing qualification guidance, policies and procedures, and carrying out quality assurance of teacher training qualifications. She has been teaching in further education colleges since 1983.

    Ann holds a Masters in Educational Management, a PGCE, a Degree in Education, and a Medal of Excellence for teaching. Ann is a Fellow of the Institute for Learning and holds QTLS status.

    Ann�is the author of:

  • Achieving your Assessor and Quality Assurance Units
  • Delivering Employability Skills in the Lifelong Learning Sector
  • Passing Assessments for the Award in Education and Training
  • Passing PTLLS Assessments
  • Preparing to Teach in the Lifelong Learning Sector
  • Principles and Practices of Assessment
  • The Award in Education and Training
  • What is Teaching in the Lifelong Learning Sector?
  • Ann�is co-author of:

  • Equality and Diversity in the Lifelong Learning Sector
  • Passing CTLLS Assessments
  • Passing the Award in Education and Training
  • Planning and Enabling Learning in the Lifelong Learning Sector.
  • The Certificate in Education and Training
  • Passing the Certificate Education and Training
  • Ann�has edited:

  • Study Skills for PTLLS.
  • The author welcomes any comments from readers; please contact her via her website. www.anngravells.co.uk

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    Senin, 26 Maret 2012

    [P586.Ebook] Download Ebook Goode on Legal Problems of Credit and Security, by Professor Sir Roy Goode

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    Goode on Legal Problems of Credit and Security, by Professor Sir Roy Goode

    • Sales Rank: #4782884 in Books
    • Published on: 2008-10-23
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Binding: Hardcover
    • 464 pages

    Most helpful customer reviews

    0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
    Secure your transactions...
    By Phillip Taylor MBE
    SECURE YOUR TRANSACTIONS WITH GOODE ADVICE

    An appreciation by Phillip Taylor MBE and Elizabeth Taylor of Richmond Green Chambers

    Credit and security is a risky area, which means that it’s important to make sure that transactions entered into are as secure as possible.

    Contracts need to be carefully drawn up to protect the parties to the agreement from the risk of financial loss as far as is practicable. When things go wrong, either litigation or dispute resolution ensue, to minimise any such loss as has occurred.

    The first edition of this book contained a revised and expanded serious of lectures delivered by the celebrated Roy Goode at the Centre for Commercial Law Studies in 1982 and set out to explore a range of conceptual problems which arose from fixed and floating security.

    The resulting expanded work is an analytical account of the law and regulation of credit and security, which elucidates a number of complex and technical areas. Since it was first published, the work has become a key text for students, academics and practising lawyers alike and is regularly cited by courts and in legal literature which is to be expected with anything from Professor Goode.

    So, Goode’s latest edition of his works is always eagerly anticipated and this new edition is no exception. Masterfully edited and augmented by Louise Gullifer, the fourth edition has preserved the framework of the previous edition and maintains its remit as an exploration of the fundamental concepts of common law and equity as they affect typical secured transactions, from mortgages to secured loans and complex structured financial products.

    ‘Louise has succeeded admirably in preserving all the essential features of the third edition,’ says Professor Goode in the foreword, while not hesitating to move the discussion on certain issues in a new direction ‘the work has been brought completely up to date and incorporates a number of new ideas, particularly in relation to security interests in shares.’

    The book takes account of developments in case law and legislation, as well as the latest scholarship and academic debate.

    Its contents include some of these areas:

    • new case law in this field, including the Spectrum and Leyland DAF decisions;

    • an examination of the fundamental concepts of common law and equity as they impact on typical and various secured transactions, with emphasis on how the principles apply in practice;

    • a discussion of the legal implications of changes in the securities market;

    • an exploration of the numerous conceptual problems associated with fixed and floating charges;

    • coverage of such terms as set–off, netting and abatement;

    • An explanation of the complex subject of priorities with a view to resolving competing consensual issues;

    • An examination of recent national legislative developments, international conventions and European Community Directives; and

    • An account of international developments such as the draft UNIDROIT Convention on Substantive Rules Regarding Intermediated Securities.

    For practitioners and academics alike, the title is indispensable. As it’s heavily cited in court, as well as in documents from government and regulatory bodies, it can certainly lend you the weight of its considerable authority in effecting smooth, secure transactions, as well as resolving arguments and disputes- that’s why you secure your transactions with such Goode advice!

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    [U489.Ebook] Download Ebook Ice Age Trail Guidebook 2014, by Ice Age Trail Alliance

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    Ice Age Trail Guidebook 2014, by Ice Age Trail Alliance

    The Ice Age Trail Guidebook 2014 features more than 100 detailed segment-by-segment descriptions and maps to help you connect with the thousand-mile Ice Age National Scenic Trail. Written for those seeking a wide range of adventures on the Ice Age Trail, the Ice Age Trail Guidebook 2014 includes a detailed written description of each segment along the Ice Age Trails thousand-mile route, a helpful map excerpt for each segment from the Ice Age Trail Alliances popular Ice Age Trail Atlas, and ratings for each segment on a variety of criteria to help hikers find the Ice Age Trail excursion thats right for them.

    • Sales Rank: #288433 in Books
    • Published on: 2014-04-01
    • Binding: Perfect Paperback
    • 400 pages

    Most helpful customer reviews

    0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
    Great guide book.
    By Michelle M. Stone
    I do several hikes on the Ice Age Trail in our county. This book gives detailed descriptions of the hikes along with detailed maps of every segment of the trail.

    7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
    The "Hiker's Bible" of the Ice Age Trail
    By Sherry Leitner
    This book is meant to be used in conjunction with the IAT 2014 Atlas Maps as the guidebook does not show the maps of all the connecting routes, only the finished trail sections. With more than half of the entire trail being connecting routes at this time, the Atlas Maps are a must if you're planning a thru-hike. With that said though, this is a visually beautiful, and very useful guidebook.

    There is an overview of each county that the trail passes through that lists trail miles and connecting miles as well as IAT Chapter Information, and County Information (like phone numbers to sheriff's office or state parks). Each trail segment in the book is broken down into a "Snapshot" - showing icons of trail features like water, camping, spur-trails, etc., "Trail Access and Parking", "The Hike", and "Area Services", along with a full-color map of that section. At the end of the guidebook is a nice glossary that contains definitions for commonly used names like "kame" and "hummocky" - yes, apparently that is a real word - and an index that allows you to search the book by segment name, or points of interest along the trail.

    I could go on and on.... oh, and there are lots of full-colored photographs as well - almost too many! Why do I say that? This book is heavy - too heavy for a backpacker to carry for any length of distance. I'll be dissecting the book and carrying it in smaller pieces as I plan a long hike of the trail next year.

    These guidebooks and maps are currently being updated every 3 years, so don't hesitate to pick this up in 2015 or 2016 - you won't see a new version until 2017, although the updates to changes will be available on the Ice Age Trail website.

    0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
    Who knew this great trail existed? I didn't.
    By D. Karlsen
    I had never heard of the Wisconsin Ice Age Trail, but a quick look at their website had me coming to Amazon to order the guidebook. The pictures in it are beautiful. It's a 1000 mile trail across the state of Wisconsin following the extent of the glaciers many moons ago. Fabulous maps. Can't wait for the summer to try out a few sections.

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    Sabtu, 24 Maret 2012

    [J157.Ebook] Download PDF Nissan Maxima 1993 thru 2008 (Haynes Automotive Repair Manual), by Bob Henderson

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    • Sales Rank: #943126 in Books
    • Brand: Haynes
    • Published on: 2014-02-01
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 10.75" h x .50" w x 8.25" l, 1.25 pounds
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 384 pages
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    Vehicle Bible
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    Jumat, 23 Maret 2012

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    • Sales Rank: #2903525 in Books
    • Published on: 2013-08-22
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 8.69" h x .58" w x 5.99" l, .60 pounds
    • Binding: Hardcover
    • 116 pages

    About the Author
    Hans Kelsen (1881-1973) was a jurist and legal philosopher. He has been regarded as one of the most important legal scholars of the 20th century.

    Nadia Urbinati is a political theorist who specializes in modern and contemporary political thought and the democratic and anti-democratic traditions. She co-chaired the Columbia University Faculty Seminar on Political and Social Thought and founded and chaired the Workshop on Politics, Religion and Human Rights.

    Carlo Invernizzi Accetti is political theorist, author, and expert in the study of international democracy, and democratic history.

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    • Sales Rank: #2936820 in eBooks
    • Published on: 2013-01-09
    • Released on: 2013-01-09
    • Format: Kindle eBook

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    Selasa, 20 Maret 2012

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    This new edition of Hellenistic Philosophy--including nearly 100 pages of additional materia--offers the first English translation of the account of Stoic ethics by Arius Didymus, substantial new sources on Epicureanism, Stoicism, and Scepticism, expanded representation of Plutarch and Cicero, and a fuller presentation of papyrological evidence. Inwood and Gerson maintain the standard of consistency and accuracy that distinguished their translations in the first edition, while regrouping some material into larger, more thematically connected passages. This edition is further enhanced by a new, more spacious page design.

    • Sales Rank: #168601 in Books
    • Brand: Brand: Hackett Pub Co
    • Published on: 1998-06
    • Original language: Ancient Greek
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 8.50" h x 5.50" w x 1.00" l, .0 pounds
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 438 pages
    Features
    • Used Book in Good Condition

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    The selections are well chosen, the translation accurate and very readable, and the glossary and indices quite helpful. . . . it is to be recommended for it is the best available. --Peter Preuss, Canadian Philosophical Review



    Inwood/Gerson furnish a collection ideal for the classroom. --Steven J. Willett, Syllecta Classica

    Language Notes
    Text: English (translation)
    Original Language: Greek

    About the Author

    Brad Inwood is Professor of Philosophy and Classics, University of Toronto.

    Lloyd P. Gerson is Professor of Philosophy, University of Toronto.

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    6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
    Review of Hackett's 'Hellenistic Philosophy'
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    Vita Mathematica will enable teachers to learn the relevant history of various topics in the undergraduate curriculum and help them incorporate this history in their teaching. It contains articles dealing not only with calculus, but also with algebra, combinatorics, graph theory, and geometry, as well as more general articles on teaching courses for prospective teachers, and describes courses taught entirely using original sources. Judith Grabiner shows us how two important eighteenth century mathematicians, Colin Maclaurin and Joseph-Louis Lagrange, understood the calculus from these different standpoints and how their legacy is still important in teaching calculus today. We learn from Hans Nils Jahnke why Lagrange's algebraic approach dominated teaching in Germany in the nineteenth century. Wilbur Knorr traces the ancient history of one of the possible foundations, the concept of indivisibles. This volume demonstrates that the history of mathematics is no longer tangential to the mathematics curriculum, but in fact deserves a central role.

    • Sales Rank: #2773977 in Books
    • Published on: 1996-10
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 8.98" h x .87" w x 5.98" l, 1.95 pounds
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 364 pages

    Most helpful customer reviews

    0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
    Two Stars
    By Beach Books and Music
    A bit dry. A collection of unrelated articles.

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    This book analyzes in depth all major derivatives debacles of the last half century including the multi-billion losses and/or bankruptcy of Metallgesellschaft (1994), Barings Bank (1995), Long Term Capital Management (1998), Amaranth (2006), Soci�t� G�n�rale (2008) and AIG (2008). It unlocks the secrets of derivatives by telling the stories of institutions which played in the derivative market and lost big. For some of these unfortunate organizations it was daring but flawed financial engineering which brought them havoc. For others it was unbridled speculation perpetrated by rogue traders whose unchecked fraud brought their house down.

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    • Sales Rank: #6648718 in Books
    • Published on: 2010-04-21
    • Released on: 2010-04-21
    • Original language: English
    • Dimensions: 9.06" h x .76" w x 6.14" l,
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 336 pages

    About the Author
    Laurent L Jacque is the Walter B Wriston Professor of International Finance & Banking at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy (Tufts University) and Director of its International Business Studies Program. He is the author of two books Management and Control of Foreign Exchange Risk (Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1996), and Management of Foreign Exchange Risk: Theory and Praxis (Lexington Books, 1978) as well as many articles on International Risk Management, Multinational Control Systems and Capital Markets. He served as an advisor and consultant to the Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Service of Wharton Econometrics, Forecasting Associates (1982 1990) and as a member of Water Technologies Inc's board of directors (1991 1994). Jacque received the James L Paddock award for teaching excellence at The Fletcher School in 1996. He is a consultant to a number of firms in the area of corporate finance and risk management and has taught in many Management Development Programs, including Manufacturers Hanover Trust, Merck, Sharp & Dohme, Philadelphia National Bank, General Motors, Bunge and Born (Brazil), Rhone-Poulenc (France), Siam Commercial Bank (Thailand), Daewoo (South Korea), General Electric, Dupont de Nemours, Norwest Bank, Bangkok Bank (Thailand), INSEAD, Pechiney, Petrobras and the IFC (World Bank group).

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    Selasa, 13 Maret 2012

    [O150.Ebook] Get Free Ebook UML 2.0 in a Nutshell (In a Nutshell (O'Reilly))

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    Jumat, 09 Maret 2012

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    During his lifetime Lawrence was best known as a novelist, but with the passage of time his true genius is located more and more by ordinary readers and critics in his short stories and novellas. In 'The Woman who Rode Away' a woman's religious quest in Mexico brings great danger - and astonishing self-discovery, and in all the stories characters come to some form of epiphany or realization of their position or their innermost feelings. Check out our other books at www.dogstailbooks.co.uk

    • Sales Rank: #1892552 in Books
    • Published on: 2014-09-22
    • Original language: English
    • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .60" w x 6.00" l,
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 264 pages

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    0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
    Old School
    By Amazon Customer
    Rocking Horse Winner and other stories bring back memories for me of this required reading from high school. Lawrence does a good job of keeping the reader focused on the story and invested in the characters.

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    We read Rocking Horse Winner
    By elaine shopper
    Yes, we ordered this book on the Kindle. We wanted to read one story, " The Rocking Horse Winner". It was very easy to download and read on the Kindle. Thank you

    0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
    No table of contents, navigable or otherwise
    By Mike McNally
    Not even a list of stories is included, at least not anyplace I could find. I'll return this and keep looking.

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